Prey Species Results

reversible Jump on prey species

SEVM models

year handled as covariate on occ

significant alphas.. luredays, 9 eigens

yr on betas (best model)

Species:      Coyote

Metadata Summary:

N_sites	N_counts	N_detections	rep_period	iterations	burnin	thin
127	596	382	7 days	50000	5000	10

Reversible Jump MCMC on pre species:

covariate	rev.jump.pct
Chipmunk	0.3513333
GoldenMantledGroundSquirrel	0.1962222
Woodrat	0.1406667
rodent	0.1271111
YellowBelliedMarmot	0.1175556
BeldingsGroundSquirrel	0.1011111
DouglasSquirrel	0.0915556
lagomorph	0.0733333
WhiteTailedJackrabbit	0.0691111
AmericanPika	0.0673333

WAIC

Models by WAIC:

model	alphas	betas	WAIC
fm4	alpha_int + lureDays + MEM13 + MEM12 + MEM1 + MEM43 + MEM30 + MEM8 + MEM3 + MEM21 + MEM7	beta.int + yr2017 + yr2018 + yr2019 + yr2020 + YellowBelliedMarmot + GoldenMantledGroundSquirrel + BeldingsGroundSquirrel + Chipmunk + Woodrat	2114.054
fm1	alpha_int + lureDays + MEM13 + MEM12 + MEM1 + MEM43 + MEM30 + MEM8 + MEM3 + MEM21 + MEM7	beta.int + yr2017 + yr2018 + yr2019 + yr2020 + WhiteTailedJackrabbit + AmericanPika + DouglasSquirrel + YellowBelliedMarmot + GoldenMantledGroundSquirrel + BeldingsGroundSquirrel + Chipmunk + Woodrat + lagomorph + rodent	2115.724
fm2	alpha_int + lureDays + MEM13 + MEM12 + MEM1 + MEM43 + MEM30 + MEM8 + MEM3 + MEM21 + MEM7	beta.int + yr2017 + yr2018 + yr2019 + yr2020 + rodent + lagomorph	2115.862
fm3	alpha_int + lureDays + MEM13 + MEM12 + MEM1 + MEM43 + MEM30 + MEM8 + MEM3 + MEM21 + MEM7	beta.int + yr2017 + yr2018 + yr2019 + yr2020 + rodent	2182.621
fm5	alpha_int + lureDays + MEM13 + MEM12 + MEM1 + MEM43 + MEM30 + MEM8 + MEM3 + MEM21 + MEM7	beta.int + yr2017 + yr2018 + yr2019 + yr2020 + Chipmunk	2191.680

Reversible jump model summaries:

model: fm1

alpha significant (lureDays), 9 eigens 13 12 1 43 30 8 3 21 7, beta yr, reversible jump prey species

summary table

param	covariate	iters_ef	mean	mode	hdi_89pct_lower	hdi_89pct_upper	bayes_P	pct.density
alpha[1]	alpha_int	2218	-2.247	-2.243	-2.40	-2.10	0	1.001
alpha[2]	lureDays	4189	-0.400	-0.405	-0.54	-0.25	0	1.001
alpha[3]	MEM13	3537	-0.365	-0.373	-0.48	-0.26	0	1.001
alpha[4]	MEM12	4166	-0.288	-0.288	-0.39	-0.18	0	1.001
alpha[5]	MEM1	2527	0.364	0.356	0.22	0.52	0	1.001
alpha[6]	MEM43	4098	-0.212	-0.208	-0.32	-0.10	0	1.0009
alpha[7]	MEM30	4396	0.191	0.194	0.09	0.28	0.00111	1.0008
alpha[8]	MEM8	3959	0.201	0.208	0.07	0.33	0.01392	0.9989
alpha[9]	MEM3	3654	-0.201	-0.198	-0.34	-0.07	0.00798	0.9999
alpha[10]	MEM21	4500	-0.186	-0.177	-0.29	-0.08	0.00355	1.0004
alpha[11]	MEM7	3538	-0.212	-0.21	-0.33	-0.10	0	1.001
beta[1]	beta.int	323	4.945	4.491	1.77	8.43	0	1.001
beta[2]	yr2017	2298	0.820	-0.086	-3.36	5.77	0.99793	0.4094
beta[3]	yr2018	2795	1.594	1.189	-3.00	6.26	0.84244	0.7263
beta[4]	yr2019	422	-2.687	-2.682	-6.77	0.61	0.16244	0.9396
beta[5]	yr2020	2195	1.609	1.279	-3.12	6.57	0.85184	0.733
beta[6]	WhiteTailedJackrabbit	3389	0.041	err	-0.01	0.55	err	err
beta[7]	AmericanPika	2826	0.033	err	-0.40	0.05	err	err
beta[8]	DouglasSquirrel	1294	0.072	err	-0.33	0.91	err	err
beta[9]	YellowBelliedMarmot	2895	0.115	err	0.00	1.61	err	err
beta[10]	GoldenMantledGroundSquirrel	418	0.400	err	-0.16	3.48	err	err
beta[11]	BeldingsGroundSquirrel	2844	0.014	err	-1.40	0.02	err	err
beta[12]	Chipmunk	626	0.802	0.004	0.00	3.81	0.8214	0.6689
beta[13]	Woodrat	3234	0.242	err	-0.27	2.16	err	err
beta[14]	lagomorph	4064	0.036	err	-0.14	0.39	err	err
beta[15]	rodent	2279	0.119	err	0.00	1.47	err	err
beta.switch[1]	NA	3257	0.069	err	0.00	1.00	err	err
beta.switch[2]	NA	3560	0.067	err	0.00	1.00	err	err
beta.switch[3]	NA	2901	0.092	err	0.00	1.00	err	err
beta.switch[4]	NA	2925	0.118	err	0.00	1.00	err	err
beta.switch[5]	NA	769	0.196	err	0.00	1.00	err	err
beta.switch[6]	NA	3827	0.101	err	0.00	1.00	err	err
beta.switch[7]	NA	972	0.351	0	0.00	1.00	1	err
beta.switch[8]	NA	2640	0.141	err	0.00	1.00	err	err
beta.switch[9]	NA	4165	0.073	err	0.00	1.00	err	err
beta.switch[10]	NA	3856	0.127	err	0.00	1.00	err	err
psi.ind.beta	NA	1452	0.197	0.055	0.00	0.52	0	0.9634
psi.out[1]	NA	796	0.969	0.997	0.90	1.00	0	1.0009
psi.out[2]	NA	2347	0.969	1	0.89	1.00	0	1.0007
psi.out[3]	NA	2539	0.976	1	0.89	1.00	0	1.0009
psi.out[4]	NA	1076	0.700	0.667	0.50	1.00	0	1.0009
psi.out[5]	NA	3058	0.987	1	0.94	1.00	0	0.9999

alpha[1]

alpha[2]

alpha[3]

alpha[4]

alpha[5]

alpha[6]

alpha[7]

alpha[8]

alpha[9]

alpha[10]

alpha[11]

beta[1]

beta[2]

beta[3]

beta[4]

beta[5]

beta[6]

beta[7]

beta[8]

beta[9]

beta[10]

beta[11]

beta[12]

beta[13]

beta[14]

beta[15]

beta.switch[1]

beta.switch[2]

beta.switch[3]

beta.switch[4]

beta.switch[5]

beta.switch[6]

beta.switch[7]

beta.switch[8]

beta.switch[9]

beta.switch[10]

psi.ind.beta

psi.out[1]

psi.out[2]

psi.out[3]

psi.out[4]

psi.out[5]

prey Model summaries:

model: fm2

alpha significant (lureDays), beta yr, 9 beta eigenvectors, rodent, lagomorph

summary table

param	covariate	iters_ef	mean	mode	hdi_89pct_lower	hdi_89pct_upper	bayes_P	pct.density
alpha[1]	alpha_int	2286	-2.253	-2.267	-2.41	-2.10	0.00000	1.0010
alpha[2]	lureDays	4115	-0.402	-0.393	-0.55	-0.25	0.00000	1.0010
alpha[3]	MEM13	3639	-0.366	-0.364	-0.48	-0.26	0.00000	1.0010
alpha[4]	MEM12	4064	-0.289	-0.282	-0.39	-0.19	0.00000	1.0010
alpha[5]	MEM1	1947	0.374	0.376	0.22	0.52	0.00000	1.0010
alpha[6]	MEM43	3943	-0.214	-0.216	-0.33	-0.11	0.00000	1.0009
alpha[7]	MEM30	4500	0.193	0.201	0.10	0.30	0.00000	1.0008
alpha[8]	MEM8	4450	0.197	0.197	0.07	0.32	0.00968	0.9996
alpha[9]	MEM3	3647	-0.211	-0.201	-0.34	-0.08	0.00822	0.9998
alpha[10]	MEM21	4500	-0.189	-0.180	-0.29	-0.08	0.00439	1.0006
alpha[11]	MEM7	3803	-0.220	-0.216	-0.34	-0.11	0.00000	1.0010
beta[1]	beta.int	486	4.810	4.793	2.03	7.79	0.00000	1.0010
beta[2]	yr2017	2012	0.033	-0.568	-4.03	4.75	0.89989	0.5543
beta[3]	yr2018	3113	1.887	1.473	-2.46	6.59	0.81802	0.7791
beta[4]	yr2019	501	-2.617	-2.953	-6.36	1.02	0.21004	0.9294
beta[5]	yr2020	2882	1.554	1.152	-2.65	6.63	0.92996	0.7216
beta[6]	rodent	1531	1.121	1.011	-0.52	2.83	0.37157	0.9186
beta[7]	lagomorph	1829	0.596	0.429	-0.83	2.09	0.68829	0.8185
psi.out[1]	NA	777	0.972	0.997	0.91	1.00	0.00000	1.0009
psi.out[2]	NA	3059	0.962	0.999	0.88	1.00	0.00000	1.0008
psi.out[3]	NA	3307	0.982	1.000	0.92	1.00	0.00000	1.0004
psi.out[4]	NA	1018	0.716	0.685	0.51	1.00	0.00000	1.0009
psi.out[5]	NA	2871	0.981	1.000	0.91	1.00	0.00000	1.0011

alpha[1]

alpha[2]

alpha[3]

alpha[4]

alpha[5]

alpha[6]

alpha[7]

alpha[8]

alpha[9]

alpha[10]

alpha[11]

beta[1]

beta[2]

beta[3]

beta[4]

beta[5]

beta[6]

beta[7]

psi.out[1]

psi.out[2]

psi.out[3]

psi.out[4]

psi.out[5]

model: fm3

alpha significant (lureDays), beta yr, 9 beta eigenvectors, rodent

summary table

param	covariate	iters_ef	mean	mode	hdi_89pct_lower	hdi_89pct_upper	bayes_P	pct.density
alpha[1]	alpha_int	3342	-1.997	-1.992	-2.13	-1.85	0.00000	1.0010
alpha[2]	lureDays	3680	-0.501	-0.493	-0.65	-0.35	0.00000	1.0010
alpha[3]	MEM13	3949	-0.092	-0.107	-0.27	0.08	0.62082	0.8418
alpha[4]	MEM12	4202	0.031	0.028	-0.11	0.18	0.89518	0.6636
alpha[5]	MEM1	4500	0.023	0.019	-0.07	0.12	0.92236	0.6733
alpha[6]	MEM43	4086	0.168	0.163	0.02	0.31	0.07411	0.9903
alpha[7]	MEM30	3932	-0.031	-0.033	-0.12	0.06	0.87836	0.7406
alpha[8]	MEM8	3573	0.242	0.233	0.10	0.40	0.00833	1.0003
alpha[9]	MEM3	3395	0.111	0.121	-0.01	0.24	0.25056	0.9532
alpha[10]	MEM21	4500	0.133	0.127	0.04	0.23	0.02508	0.9982
alpha[11]	MEM7	3685	-0.150	-0.143	-0.34	0.04	0.33057	0.9446
beta[1]	beta.int	432	3.414	2.921	1.26	5.67	0.00000	1.0010
beta[2]	yr2017	2352	1.246	0.452	-2.35	5.55	0.90974	0.7099
beta[3]	yr2018	1016	-0.439	-0.868	-3.77	2.76	0.92401	0.6400
beta[4]	yr2019	401	-2.771	-2.491	-5.10	-0.41	0.04371	0.9944
beta[5]	yr2020	2199	1.112	-0.060	-3.15	5.60	0.99870	0.3430
beta[6]	rodent	2156	0.678	0.606	-0.36	1.76	0.51627	0.9004
psi.out[1]	NA	529	0.955	0.989	0.87	1.00	0.00000	1.0010
psi.out[2]	NA	3563	0.969	0.999	0.89	1.00	0.00000	1.0008
psi.out[3]	NA	3407	0.896	0.938	0.75	1.00	0.00000	1.0009
psi.out[4]	NA	4500	0.537	0.538	0.36	0.71	0.00000	1.0010
psi.out[5]	NA	2382	0.961	0.999	0.85	1.00	0.00000	1.0007

alpha[1]

alpha[2]

alpha[3]

alpha[4]

alpha[5]

alpha[6]

alpha[7]

alpha[8]

alpha[9]

alpha[10]

alpha[11]

beta[1]

beta[2]

beta[3]

beta[4]

beta[5]

beta[6]

psi.out[1]

psi.out[2]

psi.out[3]

psi.out[4]

psi.out[5]

model: fm4

alpha significant (lureDays), beta yr, 9 beta eigenvectors, YellowBelliedMarmot,

     GoldenMantledGroundSquirrel, BeldingsGroundSquirrel, Chipmunk, Woodrat

summary table

param	covariate	iters_ef	mean	mode	hdi_89pct_lower	hdi_89pct_upper	bayes_P	pct.density
alpha[1]	alpha_int	3379	-2.232	-2.230	-2.38	-2.10	0.00000	1.0010
alpha[2]	lureDays	3960	-0.402	-0.394	-0.55	-0.25	0.00000	1.0010
alpha[3]	MEM13	3892	-0.354	-0.360	-0.46	-0.24	0.00000	1.0010
alpha[4]	MEM12	4185	-0.292	-0.301	-0.39	-0.19	0.00000	1.0010
alpha[5]	MEM1	3517	0.334	0.336	0.20	0.48	0.00000	1.0010
alpha[6]	MEM43	4137	-0.208	-0.209	-0.31	-0.10	0.00000	1.0009
alpha[7]	MEM30	4500	0.188	0.191	0.09	0.29	0.00315	1.0004
alpha[8]	MEM8	3782	0.198	0.190	0.07	0.33	0.00840	1.0003
alpha[9]	MEM3	4261	-0.200	-0.199	-0.33	-0.08	0.00608	1.0000
alpha[10]	MEM21	4272	-0.188	-0.189	-0.29	-0.09	0.00252	1.0005
alpha[11]	MEM7	3927	-0.202	-0.203	-0.31	-0.09	0.00190	1.0006
beta[1]	beta.int	392	7.451	7.056	4.15	11.02	0.00000	1.0010
beta[2]	yr2017	2870	1.893	1.355	-2.45	6.76	0.85029	0.7807
beta[3]	yr2018	3680	2.311	1.514	-2.00	6.73	0.70707	0.8497
beta[4]	yr2019	670	-3.366	-3.192	-6.10	-0.67	0.05744	0.9918
beta[5]	yr2020	3707	0.791	1.118	-4.80	6.28	0.95754	0.6073
beta[6]	YellowBelliedMarmot	2198	0.610	0.649	-1.34	2.63	0.85541	0.7176
beta[7]	GoldenMantledGroundSquirrel	973	1.994	1.144	-0.70	5.28	0.50735	0.9172
beta[8]	BeldingsGroundSquirrel	915	0.439	-0.507	-2.35	3.87	0.88354	0.4633
beta[9]	Chipmunk	873	2.200	1.476	-0.11	4.95	0.23071	0.9764
beta[10]	Woodrat	2633	1.585	0.928	-0.75	4.58	0.64744	0.9002
psi.out[1]	NA	1106	0.969	0.996	0.91	1.00	0.00000	1.0009
psi.out[2]	NA	1970	0.983	1.000	0.93	1.00	0.00000	1.0009
psi.out[3]	NA	3980	0.985	1.000	0.94	1.00	0.00000	1.0013
psi.out[4]	NA	2533	0.631	0.621	0.45	0.81	0.00000	1.0010
psi.out[5]	NA	3681	0.994	1.000	0.97	1.00	0.00000	0.9993

alpha[1]

alpha[2]

alpha[3]

alpha[4]

alpha[5]

alpha[6]

alpha[7]

alpha[8]

alpha[9]

alpha[10]

alpha[11]

beta[1]

beta[2]

beta[3]

beta[4]

beta[5]

beta[6]

beta[7]

beta[8]

beta[9]

beta[10]

psi.out[1]

psi.out[2]

psi.out[3]

psi.out[4]

psi.out[5]

model: fm5

alpha significant (lureDays), beta yr, 9 beta eigenvectors, Chipmunk

summary table

param	covariate	iters_ef	mean	mode	hdi_89pct_lower	hdi_89pct_upper	bayes_P	pct.density
alpha[1]	alpha_int	2909	-2.011	-1.991	-2.15	-1.87	0.00000	1.0010
alpha[2]	lureDays	3721	-0.497	-0.477	-0.64	-0.34	0.00000	1.0010
alpha[3]	MEM13	4001	-0.095	-0.089	-0.26	0.09	0.58931	0.8570
alpha[4]	MEM12	4127	0.037	0.041	-0.10	0.17	0.78853	0.7062
alpha[5]	MEM1	4500	0.023	0.021	-0.07	0.12	0.88222	0.6787
alpha[6]	MEM43	4818	0.180	0.177	0.03	0.33	0.04642	0.9928
alpha[7]	MEM30	3686	-0.016	-0.011	-0.11	0.07	0.96343	0.6186
alpha[8]	MEM8	3632	0.251	0.251	0.10	0.40	0.00664	1.0004
alpha[9]	MEM3	3686	0.120	0.117	0.00	0.25	0.17796	0.9662
alpha[10]	MEM21	4500	0.134	0.131	0.04	0.23	0.02259	0.9983
alpha[11]	MEM7	4113	-0.148	-0.147	-0.33	0.04	0.30384	0.9438
beta[1]	beta.int	300	4.667	4.221	1.84	7.64	0.00000	1.0010
beta[2]	yr2017	2124	0.692	-0.006	-2.99	4.89	0.99999	0.3936
beta[3]	yr2018	1204	0.470	-0.361	-3.27	5.02	0.98001	0.4663
beta[4]	yr2019	575	-2.954	-2.948	-5.36	-0.74	0.02474	0.9965
beta[5]	yr2020	2855	1.112	-0.110	-3.19	5.94	0.99674	0.3626
beta[6]	Chipmunk	335	2.275	1.300	0.06	5.69	0.18017	0.9833
psi.out[1]	NA	578	0.966	0.995	0.90	1.00	0.00000	1.0010
psi.out[2]	NA	3836	0.967	0.999	0.90	1.00	0.00000	1.0008
psi.out[3]	NA	1639	0.934	0.999	0.80	1.00	0.00000	1.0008
psi.out[4]	NA	3969	0.547	0.547	0.38	0.71	0.00000	1.0010
psi.out[5]	NA	2087	0.969	1.000	0.87	1.00	0.00000	1.0007

alpha[1]

alpha[2]

alpha[3]

alpha[4]

alpha[5]

alpha[6]

alpha[7]

alpha[8]

alpha[9]

alpha[10]

alpha[11]

beta[1]

beta[2]

beta[3]

beta[4]

beta[5]

beta[6]

psi.out[1]

psi.out[2]

psi.out[3]

psi.out[4]

psi.out[5]